Some fractures are appearing in global ESG investment, with market size estimated by Bloomberg Intelligence to hit $50 trillion in 2025. As reference, $50 trillion represents nearly a threefold increase from AUM levels of 2014.
Lagging investment performance is giving some investors pause. A recent $4 billion withdrawal from ESGUESGU -0.7%, Blackrock’s largest ESG-labeled exchange-traded fund, and a standard for the sustainable investing industry, raised eyebrows. Blackrock has been silent about the source of withdrawal, and it is not clear that it may not be from rebalancing from some of their own models.
In another example, as of March 30, 2023, the $5.9 billion Vanguard ESG US Stock ETF (ESGVESGV -0.7%) has declined 1.8 percent during the past two years, compared with the 4.9 percent advance of the S&P 500 in the same period. Even allowing that “constrained” mandates (i.e. fossil fuel free, etc) tend to underperform the general markets over time, one wonders whether investors will have the fortitude to stick with ESG in times of underperformance?
On top of recent performance concerns, lack of meaningful, consistent data combined with transparency issues continue to plague the ESG arena. ESG score providers are drawing renewed criticism in both the US and Europe for using inconsistent approaches. And unreliable ESG ratings can lead to greenwashing, further undermining integrity in this rapidly developing investment area.
Many asset managers and investors are sounding alarms on inconsistent ratings across information platforms. Interestingly, though Europe set the early tone on ESG reporting, the US and Europe are developing somewhat differently, though both have experienced recent major data reporting revisions.
Problems with consistency of ESG data and “drift” of ratings persist. On April 1st, MSCIMSCI -1.2% lowered ESG scores on 31,000 funds in response to client concerns about “an upward drift in ratings across the fund universe.” The changes mean that now only 0.2% of funds will have an AAA rating in ESG, compared with roughly 20% before, according to MSCI estimates. MSCI explained they believe the threshold required to receive a top rating of AA or AAA “should be more rigorous and ambitious.”
Man Institute released an interesting report this week—The State of ESG in the US: An Apolitical Survey on the state of ESG in the US. As background, the SEC released ESG guidance in May 2022, classifying ESG funds into three categories of “focus”, “impact” and “integration”. However, unlike Europe, the principal battleground for ESG in the US is evolving to be more policy than investment oriented. With action at the state and local levels, ESG policy has become “values-oriented”, driven by state legislators. See Figure 1 below from the report.
In the US, ESG activity seems to be focused in two developing directions:
For the continued flow of global money into ESG fund management, investors expect our industry to perform and to increase reporting credibility with consistent data.
By Carrie McCabe
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